Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UCSB -500 CSUB +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +2 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -10.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -9.2 (-7.2) | 139.2 (-9.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -7.4 (-5.4) | 141.6 (-11.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -7.0 (-5.0) | 141.9 (-11.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -7.5 (-5.5) | 141.8 (-11.8) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | UCSB 75 – 69 CSUB |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCSB 109 – 84 CSUB |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UCSB 71 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UCSB 81 – 75 CSUB |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UCSB 78 – 66 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#198) | -7.9 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#215) | -1.51 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#219) | -1.87 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#241) | 0.403 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.3% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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