Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | WYO -188 SJSU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +2 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -3.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -1.9 (+0.1) | 143.4 (+4.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -2.7 (-0.7) | 144.7 (+3.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -2.4 (-0.4) | 145.4 (+2.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -1.9 (+0.1) | 144.7 (+3.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | WYO 88 – 78 SJSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WYO 66 – 62 SJSU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | SJSU 66 – 61 WYO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SJSU 82 – 73 WYO |
| Jan 26, 2025 | SJSU 67 – 58 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 2-16 |
| Home | 9-5 | 6-9 |
| Away | 3-10 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#198) | -0.6 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#176) | -0.30 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#170) | -0.26 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#156) | 0.450 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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