Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
| Money | FAU -2000 ECU +1050 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +15 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -22.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -18.8 (-3.8) | 146.2 (-3.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -16.2 (-1.2) | 147.0 (-4.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -17.7 (-2.7) | 146.8 (-3.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -16.9 (-1.9) | 145.5 (-2.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | ECU 76 – 75 FAU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FAU 81 – 53 ECU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | FAU 78 – 76 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-1 | 11-9 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.0 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 15.2 (#17) | -3.0 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#34) | -0.80 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.65 (#39) | -0.97 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.634 (#14) | 0.441 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.