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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
0–3 on winners
spread MAE 9.2
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Boise State
@
Nebraska
|
-1.7 | 146.0 | 47% | 69–79 | ✗ |
UCF
@
Villanova
|
+1.2 | 147.1 | 57% | 104–98 | ✗ |
Florida
@
Auburn
|
+2.7 | 154.1 | 58% | 79–73 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.