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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.5
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+2.0 | 162.4 | 60% | 82–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.5 | 144.8 | 64% | 66–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.9 | 142.1 | 73% | 76–64 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.