Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | PUR -167 TENN +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +6 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | PUR -3.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -4.9 (+1.1) | 145.0 (-7.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | PUR -5.1 (+0.9) | 148.3 (-10.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | PUR -5.2 (+0.8) | 144.4 (-6.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -4.0 (+2.0) | 144.1 (-6.1) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2023 | PUR 71 – 67 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-5 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 14-4 |
| Home | 16-0 | 14-2 |
| Away | 7-3 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 11-2 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.3 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 22.6 (#3) | 19.5 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.86 (#2) | 3.04 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.75 (#2) | 3.74 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.677 (#1) | 0.633 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 41.0% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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