We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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4–0 on winners spread MAE 11.8 4 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Villanova @ Colorado -1.9 142.9 39% 85–64 ✓
Chattanooga @ Loyola Chicago -0.6 146.9 28% 80–73 ✓
Tulane @ USC +10.3 150.7 82% 60–89 ✓
Butler @ Boise State +4.0 150.3 61% 93–100 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.