In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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2–0 on winners spread MAE 8.3 2 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Arkansas @ Baylor +5.2 149.2 67% 72–81 ✓
USC @ Gonzaga +6.3 155.7 76% 66–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.