Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Under |
| Money | GONZ -400 USC +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +19 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -7.7 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -7.1 (+11.9) | 158.6 (-7.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -4.7 (+14.3) | 152.9 (-1.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -7.4 (+11.6) | 157.0 (-6.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -6.3 (+12.7) | 155.7 (-4.7) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | GONZ 89 – 76 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-1 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 15-0 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-0 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-0 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 12-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.0 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 65.1 |
| Massey | 26.1 (#1) | 18.4 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.63 (#1) | 3.03 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.27 (#1) | 3.93 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.664 (#1) | 0.625 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.1% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.2% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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