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Baseline Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–2 on winners
spread MAE 6.4
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberty
@
George Mason
|
+7.2 | 137.5 | 71% | 77–71 | ✗ |
UMBC
@
Howard
|
+0.1 | 140.7 | 50% | 83–86 | ✓ |
UNC Wilmington
@
Yale
|
+6.4 | 143.0 | 71% | 68–67 | ✗ |
Wyoming
@
Wichita State
|
+6.3 | 145.4 | 72% | 70–74 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.