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Baseline Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–0 on winners
spread MAE 3.6
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-3.2 | 151.9 | 39% | 86–78 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.3 | 151.4 | 44% | 85–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.4 | 139.3 | 79% | 61–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.4 | 156.3 | 59% | 75–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.0 | 127.5 | 47% | 67–69 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.