← All models
Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
1–2 on winners
spread MAE 13.5
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oklahoma
@
Baylor
|
+0.1 | 162.6 | 50% | 82–69 | ✗ |
West Virginia
@
Creighton
|
-2.1 | 134.8 | 42% | 87–70 | ✓ |
Illinois
@
UConn
|
-3.6 | 144.9 | 37% | 62–71 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.