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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Lehigh @ Houston	—	—	—	57–75	—
Florida @ Arizona	—	—	—	87–93	—
New Haven @ UConn	—	—	—	55–79	—
Quinnipiac @ St. John's	—	—	—	74–108	—
Oakland @ Michigan	—	—	—	78–121	—
Villanova @ BYU	—	—	—	66–71	—
South Carolina State @ Louisville	—	—	—	45–104	—
Eastern Washington @ UCLA	—	—	—	74–80	—
Southern @ Arkansas	—	—	—	77–109	—
North Dakota @ Alabama	—	—	—	62–91	—
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Iowa State	—	—	—	50–88	—
Jackson State @ Illinois	—	—	—	55–113	—
Mercer @ Tennessee	—	—	—	61–76	—
Green Bay @ Kansas	—	—	—	51–94	—
Bethune-Cookman @ Auburn	—	—	—	90–95	—
Texas Southern @ Gonzaga	—	—	—	43–98	—
Colgate @ Michigan State	—	—	—	69–80	—
Campbell @ Wisconsin	—	—	—	64–96	—
Central Arkansas @ North Carolina	—	—	—	54–94	—
Queens University @ Winthrop	—	—	—	74–81	—
Bradley @ St. Bonaventure	—	—	—	63–69	—
Omaha @ Murray State	—	—	—	77–85	—
Northern Arizona @ Drake	—	—	—	71–77	—
Georgia State @ Eastern Michigan	—	—	—	49–71	—
Furman @ High Point	—	—	—	71–97	—
Southern Miss @ Buffalo	—	—	—	79–85	—
IU Indianapolis @ Ohio State	—	—	—	102–118	—
Coppin State @ Maryland	—	—	—	61–83	—
Morgan State @ Georgetown	—	—	—	70–87	—
Old Dominion @ Miami (OH)	—	—	—	72–87	—
Missouri @ Howard	—	—	—	88–67	—
Coastal Carolina @ Western Michigan	—	—	—	71–76	—
Arkansas State @ Ohio	—	—	—	89–85	—
Marshall @ Massachusetts	—	—	—	78–72	—
Wofford @ George Mason	—	—	—	46–70	—
Western Illinois @ Radford	—	—	—	75–80	—
South Alabama @ Toledo	—	—	—	76–74	—
App State @ Central Michigan	—	—	—	66–82	—
Texas State @ Bowling Green	—	—	—	48–83	—
Fairfield @ Penn State	—	—	—	68–76	—
Troy @ Kent State	—	—	—	103–97	—
Wagner @ VCU	—	—	—	74–103	—
Lafayette @ Saint Joseph's	—	—	—	76–85	—
Louisiana @ Ball State	—	—	—	64–75	—
Bryant @ Siena	—	—	—	66–82	—
James Madison @ Akron	—	—	—	71–85	—
Western Carolina @ Cincinnati	—	—	—	63–94	—
Charleston Southern @ Virginia Tech	—	—	—	67–98	—
Binghamton @ Syracuse	—	—	—	47–85	—
Youngstown State @ Pittsburgh	—	—	—	59–74	—
North Carolina Central @ NC State	—	—	—	66–114	—
Boston College @ Florida Atlantic	—	—	—	78–83	—
Stetson @ Rhode Island	—	—	—	62–93	—
Niagara @ Duquesne	—	—	—	63–83	—
Canisius @ Dayton	—	—	—	48–88	—
New Hampshire @ Clemson	—	—	—	38–88	—
Rider @ Virginia	—	—	—	53–87	—
Long Island University @ Notre Dame	—	—	—	67–89	—
Delaware @ Bucknell	—	—	—	70–78	—
Marist @ Xavier	—	—	—	62–66	—
Holy Cross @ Providence	—	—	—	79–89	—
Saint Peter's @ Seton Hall	—	—	—	50–77	—
Mississippi Valley State @ UAB	—	—	—	55–106	—
Boston University @ Northeastern	—	—	—	76–75	—
Tennessee Tech @ Western Kentucky	—	—	—	70–82	—
Bellarmine @ Georgia	—	—	—	59–104	—
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Georgia Tech	—	—	—	52–56	—
Navy @ Presbyterian	—	—	—	76–55	—
Air Force @ Belmont	—	—	—	63–79	—
Northwestern State @ Texas A&M	—	—	—	68–98	—
Gardner-Webb @ Minnesota	—	—	—	60–87	—
West Georgia @ Nebraska	—	—	—	53–86	—
Lipscomb @ Vanderbilt	—	—	—	61–105	—
UL Monroe @ Northern Illinois	—	—	—	82–102	—
Detroit Mercy @ UIC	—	—	—	71–91	—
UAlbany @ Marquette	—	—	—	53–80	—
Chicago State @ DePaul	—	—	—	62–92	—
Hampton @ Milwaukee	—	—	—	86–90	—
Indiana State @ Charlotte	—	—	—	76–92	—
Mercyhurst @ Northwestern	—	—	—	47–70	—
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Baylor	—	—	—	81–96	—
American University @ Wake Forest	—	—	—	74–88	—
Tarleton State @ SMU	—	—	—	76–96	—
Southeast Missouri State @ Saint Louis	—	—	—	67–92	—
Cleveland State @ Loyola Chicago	—	—	—	88–91	—
Maine @ George Washington	—	—	—	47–67	—
Jacksonville @ Miami	—	—	—	69–86	—
SE Louisiana @ Ole Miss	—	—	—	58–88	—
New Orleans @ TCU	—	—	—	78–74	—
Samford @ Tulane	—	—	—	72–85	—
Saint Francis @ Oklahoma	—	—	—	66–102	—
Utah Tech @ South Dakota	—	—	—	81–79	—
Florida A&M @ South Florida	—	—	—	67–102	—
Hofstra @ UCF	—	—	—	78–82	—
South Dakota State @ Merrimack	—	—	—	75–66	—
Incarnate Word @ Colorado State	—	—	—	64–98	—
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Grand Canyon	—	—	—	71–90	—
Towson @ Loyola Maryland	—	—	—	67–56	—
San José State @ Utah	—	—	—	75–84	—
Montana State @ Colorado	—	—	—	78–84	—
Cal Poly @ USC	—	—	—	64–94	—
North Dakota State @ Oregon State	—	—	—	65–67	—
Idaho @ Washington State	—	—	—	83–81	—
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Saint Mary's	—	—	—	58–84	—
Denver @ Seattle U	—	—	—	73–84	—
Cal State Bakersfield @ California	—	—	—	60–87	—
South Carolina Upstate @ California Baptist	—	—	—	75–87	—
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Washington	—	—	—	50–94	—

Live predictions from the latest rating snapshots — evaluation rows are recorded once games go final. Spread is the predicted home margin. Not betting advice.