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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.9
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clemson
@
Alabama
|
+4.2 | 167.0 | 65% | 82–89 | ✓ |
Tennessee
@
Purdue
|
+3.1 | 149.7 | 61% | 66–72 | ✓ |
NC State
@
Duke
|
+9.1 | 149.0 | 80% | 76–64 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.