Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | CSUB +270 NDSU -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +11 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | NDSU -8.1 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -7.6 (-3.4) | 145.6 (+3.4) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -4.2 (-6.8) | 143.5 (+5.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -4.2 (-6.8) | 143.8 (+5.2) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -5.5 (-5.5) | 147.1 (+1.9) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 24, 2024 | NDSU 94 – 60 CSUB |
| Nov 12, 2024 | CSUB 86 – 81 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 14-2 |
| Home | 6-11 | 13-1 |
| Away | 1-13 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L15 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 78.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.4 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#317) | 2.0 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#241) | 0.69 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#245) | 0.96 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#290) | 0.537 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 37.8% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 60.6% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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