Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | CSUB -135 NDSU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +5 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | CSUB -21.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (+15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -10.4 (-5.4) | 146.1 (+20.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -10.7 (-5.7) | 145.5 (+21.5) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2025 | NDSU 80 – 69 CSUB |
| Dec 24, 2024 | NDSU 94 – 60 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-6 |
| Home | 9-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 80.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 76.0 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#162) | -9.2 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#209) | -2.87 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#208) | -4.22 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#106) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 56.2% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.35 | 2.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 9.0% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 4.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 8.0% |
| DRB% | 60.5% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 54.4% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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