Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | LONG +105 CAM -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +6 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | LONG -1.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -1.1 (-7.1) | 139.2 (-17.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -0.7 (-6.7) | 134.8 (-12.8) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -1.5 (-7.5) | 139.3 (-17.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -0.9 (-6.9) | 140.7 (-18.7) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2024 | LONG 77 – 55 CAM |
| Mar 3, 2023 | CAM 81 – 68 LONG |
| Feb 4, 2023 | LONG 74 – 50 CAM |
| Dec 31, 2022 | LONG 67 – 42 CAM |
| Feb 26, 2022 | LONG 60 – 55 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LONG | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-17 | 17-10 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#254) | -3.9 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#319) | -0.60 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.62 (#299) | -1.40 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.377 (#311) | 0.476 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LONG | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 25.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 4.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 15.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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