Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CAM +135 LONG -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +22 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | CAM -3.7 (-25.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -2.9 (-24.9) | 138.9 (-6.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -3.8 (-25.8) | 139.1 (-7.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -2.9 (-24.9) | 138.9 (-6.9) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -1.2 (-23.2) | 138.4 (-6.4) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2023 | CAM 81 – 68 LONG |
| Feb 4, 2023 | LONG 74 – 50 CAM |
| Dec 31, 2022 | LONG 67 – 42 CAM |
| Feb 26, 2022 | LONG 60 – 55 CAM |
| Jan 20, 2022 | LONG 72 – 64 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-10 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#265) | -4.9 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#331) | -0.26 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#310) | -0.35 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.368 (#352) | 0.438 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 34.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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