Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | W&M -120 DEL +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +5 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -4.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -3.4 (+1.6) | 131.3 (-2.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -2.7 (+2.3) | 128.2 (+0.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -3.0 (+2.0) | 128.9 (+0.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -3.5 (+1.5) | 131.4 (-2.4) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2025 | DEL 100 – 78 W&M |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DEL 74 – 64 W&M |
| Feb 10, 2024 | DEL 69 – 58 W&M |
| Feb 2, 2024 | DEL 81 – 53 W&M |
| Jan 20, 2023 | DEL 80 – 53 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-10 | 7-8 |
| Conference | 4-6 | 5-4 |
| Home | 1-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 66.9 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#262) | -7.3 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#253) | -1.74 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#280) | -2.44 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#250) | 0.393 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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