Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SF -275 GCU +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | SF -6.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -1.5 (+1.5) | 141.1 (-8.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -4.3 (-1.3) | 141.9 (-8.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -4.0 (-1.0) | 143.9 (-10.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -4.0 (-1.0) | 144.0 (-11.0) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2023 | GCU 76 – 72 SF |
| Dec 19, 2021 | GCU 49 – 48 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 17-7 |
| Conference | 4-9 | 9-3 |
| Home | 3-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-1 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 62.8 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#58) | 2.2 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#148) | 0.07 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#152) | 0.66 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#159) | 0.476 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 42.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 81.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.4% | 15.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.