Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | KU -170 CREI +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +1 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -1.1 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.6 (-15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -0.8 (+0.2) | 153.0 (-8.0) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -0.9 (+0.1) | 150.9 (-5.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -0.1 (+1.1) | 153.0 (-8.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -0.0 (+1.0) | 152.7 (-7.7) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2024 | CREI 76 – 63 KU |
| Mar 19, 2022 | KU 79 – 72 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 22-9 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#118) | 9.6 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#78) | 1.39 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#80) | 2.18 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#125) | 0.523 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 51.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 2.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 59.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 10.9% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 41.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 12.6% |
Game Analysis
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