Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | CREI +155 KU -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +13 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | KU -6.9 (+19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (-14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -3.1 (+16.1) | 146.1 (-7.1) | 40% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | KU -3.7 (+16.7) | 146.0 (-7.0) | 44% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | KU -3.2 (+16.2) | 145.2 (-6.2) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KU -3.9 (+16.9) | 145.7 (-6.7) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 19, 2022 | KU 79 – 72 CREI |
| Dec 8, 2020 | KU 73 – 72 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#78) | 18.0 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#122) | 4.23 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#100) | 6.27 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#216) | 0.743 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 52.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 2.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 58.1% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.1% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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