Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | KU -900 CREI +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +7 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | KU -9.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -7.0 (-0.0) | 140.4 (+10.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -6.7 (+0.3) | 140.6 (+10.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -7.1 (-0.1) | 139.3 (+11.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -7.4 (-0.4) | 137.0 (+14.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2024 | CREI 76 – 63 KU |
| Dec 8, 2020 | KU 73 – 72 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-6 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-7 |
| Home | 19-1 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-4 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 9-1 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W11 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 19.2 (#5) | 9.3 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.54 (#3) | 2.55 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.34 (#3) | 2.98 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.651 (#1) | 0.573 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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