Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
(1) Kansas Jayhawks
79 72
FINAL Neutral NCAA Tournament
(9) Creighton Bluejays
Dickies Arena (Neutral) · March 19, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread KU -13.0 Away covered
O/U 141.0 Over
Money KU -900 / CREI +600
Model Predictions
Spread Total KU win
Actual KU +7 151 Won
Massey KU -9.9 (-2.9)
Massey Totals 142.9 (+8.1)
Bradley-Terry 73%
Weighted B-T 80%
Baseline Plus ML KU -8.7 (-1.7) 139.5 (+11.5) 84%
Model 4 ML KU -8.3 (-1.3) 141.1 (+9.9) 83%
Model 3 ML KU -8.7 (-1.7) 141.1 (+9.9) 83%
Baseline ML KU -8.7 (-1.7) 139.9 (+11.1) 83%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 5, 2024 CREI 7663 KU
Dec 8, 2020 KU 7372 CREI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KU CREI
Overall 34-6 23-12
Conference 14-4 12-7
Home 19-1 11-4
Away 6-4 6-5
Neutral 9-1 6-3
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak W11 L1
Avg Pts For 78.2 69.2
Avg Pts Against 67.2 66.4
Massey 19.2 (#5) 9.3 (#56)
Bradley-Terry 3.54 (#3) 2.55 (#23)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.34 (#3) 2.98 (#23)
RPI 0.651 (#1) 0.573 (#51)
Shooting & Four Factors KU CREI
FG% 48.2% 45.0%
3PT% 35.9% 30.3%
REB / G 37.5 38.4
OREB / G 11.1 9.7
AST / TO 1.24 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.2% 50.8%
TOV% 17.9% 20.7%
ORB% 33.4% 28.8%
FT Rate 23.2% 19.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.6% 44.9%
Opp TOV% 18.5% 15.7%
DRB% 71.5% 71.6%
Opp FT Rate 19.8% 14.7%

Game Analysis

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