Grambling
Tigers
63
–
70
FINAL
Neutral
Booste Mobile Chris Paul HBCU Challenge
Norfolk State
Spartans
Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +7 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | NORF -6.2 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -8.1 (+1.1) | 138.9 (-5.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -5.5 (-1.5) | 142.1 (-9.1) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -5.1 (-1.9) | 143.2 (-10.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -6.8 (-0.2) | 144.6 (-11.6) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2025 | GRAM 80 – 68 NORF |
| Dec 20, 2024 | NORF 76 – 70 GRAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 24-7 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-2 |
| Home | 7-4 | 11-0 |
| Away | 4-14 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 66.6 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#339) | -5.2 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#291) | 1.48 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.70 (#307) | 2.31 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#228) | 0.487 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.48 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 27.8% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 59.5% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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