I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
Horizon League · Calihan Hall · February 25, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread DETM -1.5 Away covered
O/U 160.5 Under
Money DETM -125 / WRST +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total DETM win
Actual WRST +11 153 Lost
Massey DETM -2.8 (-13.8) — —
Massey Totals — 163.2 (-10.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 62% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 69% ✗
Baseline Plus ML DETM -1.6 (-12.6) 161.0 (-8.0) 67% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DETM -2.6 (-13.6) 159.0 (-6.0) 66% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML DETM -2.5 (-13.5) 160.3 (-7.3) 65% ✗
Baseline ML DETM -2.3 (-13.3) 161.9 (-8.9) 68% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 10, 2026 WRST 66 – 63 DETM
Feb 13, 2026 DETM 77 – 74 WRST
Jan 10, 2026 WRST 84 – 82 DETM
Jan 25, 2025 WRST 67 – 50 DETM
Dec 7, 2024 WRST 80 – 72 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DETM WRST
Overall 14-19 18-15
Conference 9-11 10-10
Home 9-5 9-6
Away 5-13 7-8
Neutral 0-1 2-1
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.1 78.3
Avg Pts Against 75.7 74.7
Massey -1.3 (#199) -0.5 (#179)
Bradley-Terry -0.75 (#246) -0.62 (#237)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.53 (#219) -0.62 (#229)
RPI 0.475 (#231) 0.467 (#243)
Shooting & Four Factors DETM WRST
FG% 43.5% 48.6%
3PT% 39.4% 34.6%
REB / G 36.2 36.5
OREB / G 12.9 9.0
AST / TO 1.02 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.0% 53.4%
TOV% 17.8% 17.5%
ORB% 35.7% 26.3%
FT Rate 21.3% 17.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.7% 50.6%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 17.7%
DRB% 69.7% 73.8%
Opp FT Rate 21.2% 18.8%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.