See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
Horizon League · Wolstein Center · February 18, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CLE -1.5 Home covered
O/U 150.5 Over
Money CLE -120 / WRST +125
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLE win
Actual CLE +17 153 Won
Massey CLE -3.0 (+14.0) — —
Massey Totals — 149.6 (+3.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 75% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 77% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CLE -2.2 (+14.8) 152.2 (+0.8) 62% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CLE -2.5 (+14.5) 148.9 (+4.1) 61% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CLE -1.8 (+15.2) 150.9 (+2.1) 60% ✓
Baseline ML CLE -0.7 (+16.3) 153.3 (-0.3) 55% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 WRST 90 – 61 CLE
Feb 15, 2026 WRST 102 – 90 CLE
Jan 22, 2026 CLE 85 – 79 WRST
Feb 28, 2025 WRST 82 – 76 CLE
Dec 29, 2024 CLE 78 – 64 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CLE WRST
Overall 21-14 18-15
Conference 14-6 10-10
Home 13-3 9-6
Away 7-9 7-8
Neutral 1-2 2-1
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 71.7 78.3
Avg Pts Against 69.2 74.7
Massey -0.5 (#182) 0.2 (#165)
Bradley-Terry -0.04 (#178) -0.50 (#229)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.02 (#173) -0.49 (#214)
RPI 0.501 (#176) 0.472 (#234)
Shooting & Four Factors CLE WRST
FG% 45.2% 49.1%
3PT% 31.2% 34.1%
REB / G 34.4 37.1
OREB / G 11.9 9.4
AST / TO 1.09 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.5% 53.6%
TOV% 17.1% 17.5%
ORB% 34.0% 27.2%
FT Rate 21.8% 18.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.6% 50.7%
Opp TOV% 21.0% 18.0%
DRB% 64.3% 74.7%
Opp FT Rate 22.7% 18.7%

Game Analysis

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