Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -38.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +40 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -40.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (-27.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -34.9 (+5.1) | 154.0 (-24.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -27.2 (+12.8) | 156.2 (-26.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -26.6 (+13.4) | 152.7 (-22.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -33.4 (+6.6) | 150.8 (-20.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2022 | FLA 89 – 51 STET |
| Dec 6, 2020 | FLA 86 – 40 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-4 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-1 | 5-9 |
| Away | 7-3 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 14-0 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W12 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.8 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 81.9 |
| Massey | 20.1 (#7) | -15.7 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.62 (#2) | -4.68 (#364) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.35 (#2) | -6.72 (#364) |
| RPI | 0.669 (#7) | 0.339 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 45.4 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 15.7 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 42.2% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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