Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP +150 LIB -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +2 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -2.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -3.2 (+1.2) | 136.4 (-4.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -1.2 (-0.8) | 138.8 (-6.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -2.2 (+0.2) | 138.8 (-6.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -2.2 (+0.2) | 138.2 (-6.2) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LIB 73 – 64 UTEP |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LIB 80 – 69 UTEP |
| Mar 12, 2025 | LIB 81 – 60 UTEP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | LIB 76 – 69 UTEP |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UTEP 72 – 70 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 13-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#207) | 3.6 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#201) | 0.37 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#195) | 0.71 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#221) | 0.515 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 33.6% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.3% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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