Betting Lines
| Spread | DEN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | DEN -150 SAC +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEN +21 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | SAC -1.9 (+22.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAC -1.0 (+22.0) | 137.2 (+1.8) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SAC -0.2 (+21.2) | 138.0 (+1.0) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -0.3 (+21.3) | 137.0 (+2.0) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAC -0.6 (+21.6) | 136.1 (+2.9) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2022 | SAC 87 – 85 DEN |
| Nov 15, 2022 | SAC 73 – 69 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEN | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-6 | 5-11 |
| Away | 3-12 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#334) | -3.7 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#332) | -1.89 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.51 (#354) | -3.31 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.357 (#353) | 0.408 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEN | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.3% | 34.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.