Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | CSU -425 LMU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +29 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | CSU -7.0 (+22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -5.0 (+24.0) | 143.0 (-6.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -4.9 (+24.1) | 140.1 (-3.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -5.5 (+23.5) | 140.2 (-3.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -8.0 (+21.0) | 141.5 (-4.5) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2023 | CSU 76 – 67 LMU |
| Dec 1, 2022 | CSU 87 – 71 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#180) | -2.9 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#196) | -0.02 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#192) | -0.15 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#248) | 0.542 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.