Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | GTWN -3500 COPP +1350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +17 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | GTWN -20.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -15.2 (+1.8) | 136.6 (-11.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GTWN -15.1 (+1.9) | 133.5 (-8.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -16.5 (+0.5) | 135.1 (-10.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -15.8 (+1.2) | 136.3 (-11.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2025 | GTWN 97 – 67 COPP |
| Dec 28, 2024 | GTWN 83 – 53 COPP |
| Nov 9, 2022 | GTWN 99 – 89 COPP |
| Dec 9, 2020 | GTWN 80 – 48 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 1-13 |
| Home | 7-12 | 2-8 |
| Away | 2-10 | 0-17 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 57.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#207) | -17.0 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#261) | -3.56 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#223) | -4.38 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#282) | 0.328 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 36.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 24.2% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 40.5% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 58.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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