Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | ORST -155 UCD +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +12 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | ORST -5.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORST -2.6 (+9.4) | 139.8 (-9.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -4.4 (+7.6) | 140.9 (-10.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -3.9 (+8.1) | 140.0 (-10.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -3.1 (+8.9) | 138.2 (-8.2) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2024 | ORST 90 – 57 UCD |
| Dec 15, 2021 | UCD 71 – 64 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 1-9 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#264) | -3.8 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#199) | -1.36 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#191) | -2.34 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#119) | 0.349 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 26.5% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 24.9% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.