Why don't you get back into bed. "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
← Four Factors

Effective Field Goal Percentage

Field-goal shooting that credits a 3-pointer as 1.5 made shots.

(FGM + 0.5×3PM) ÷ FGA. A made three is worth 1.5 times a made two, so it counts as 1.5 makes; plain FG% undervalues teams that shoot a lot of threes.

Higher is better  ·  league avg 50.8%  ·  as of 2025-04-08

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.64 (team entering with the better value wins 60% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 42.1% max 58.7% mean 50.8% std 3.0% (n=364)

Team Rankings

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# Team Effective Field Goal Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Cornell 58.7% +2.64 100 27
2 North Dakota State 58.2% +2.50 100 29
3 Duke 57.9% +2.40 99 39
4 St. Thomas-Minnesota 57.8% +2.36 99 31
5 Liberty 57.8% +2.35 99 32
6 BYU 57.0% +2.10 99 35
7 Northern Colorado 57.0% +2.08 98 32
8 Iowa 56.8% +2.01 98 33
9 Bradley 56.7% +1.99 98 36
10 Alabama 56.6% +1.96 98 37
11 Washington State 56.6% +1.96 97 34
12 Illinois State 56.3% +1.87 97 35
13 High Point 56.3% +1.86 97 33
14 Wright State 56.3% +1.86 96 31
15 Saint Louis 56.3% +1.85 96 32
16 Chattanooga 56.2% +1.84 96 36
17 Creighton 56.1% +1.81 96 36
18 Gonzaga 56.0% +1.77 95 35
19 Santa Clara 56.0% +1.77 95 34
20 Montana 56.0% +1.74 95 32
21 Purdue 55.9% +1.73 94 36
22 Kentucky 55.9% +1.72 94 36
23 Missouri 55.8% +1.68 94 34
24 Lipscomb 55.6% +1.63 94 33
25 Colorado State 55.5% +1.59 93 36
26 Miami (OH) 55.4% +1.56 93 32
27 Utah State 55.3% +1.51 93 33
28 UMBC 55.2% +1.50 93 29
29 Cal Poly 55.2% +1.50 92 34
30 Northern Iowa 55.2% +1.49 92 32
31 UC San Diego 55.1% +1.44 92 33
32 Delaware 55.1% +1.44 91 34
33 UConn 55.0% +1.41 91 35
34 Akron 54.9% +1.40 91 33
35 Auburn 54.9% +1.40 91 38
36 Iowa State 54.9% +1.38 90 35
37 Florida 54.9% +1.37 90 40
38 Belmont 54.8% +1.36 90 32
39 USC 54.8% +1.36 90 35
40 Purdue Fort Wayne 54.7% +1.34 89 30
41 Texas Tech 54.7% +1.33 89 37
42 Yale 54.7% +1.32 89 29
43 UC Santa Barbara 54.6% +1.30 88 32
44 UMass Lowell 54.6% +1.28 88 29
45 Indiana State 54.6% +1.28 88 30
46 Samford 54.6% +1.27 88 31
47 SMU 54.5% +1.25 87 35
48 Villanova 54.5% +1.25 87 36
49 Oregon State 54.5% +1.24 87 32
50 Oklahoma 54.4% +1.21 87 34
51 Colgate 54.2% +1.14 86 32
52 North Carolina 54.1% +1.12 86 37
53 Penn State 54.1% +1.11 86 31
54 Xavier 54.1% +1.10 85 34
55 Drake 53.9% +1.04 85 33
56 Bucknell 53.8% +1.03 85 33
57 Michigan 53.8% +1.01 85 37
58 Wisconsin 53.8% +1.00 84 37
59 Nevada 53.7% +0.99 84 33
60 William & Mary 53.7% +0.99 84 30
61 Furman 53.7% +0.99 83 32
62 Butler 53.7% +0.98 83 35
63 Bellarmine 53.7% +0.97 83 29
64 Florida Gulf Coast 53.6% +0.95 83 33
65 South Dakota State 53.6% +0.95 82 29
66 Maryland 53.6% +0.94 82 36
67 Ohio State 53.5% +0.93 82 32
68 Howard 53.5% +0.91 82 28
69 Memphis 53.5% +0.91 81 35
70 Florida Atlantic 53.4% +0.88 81 33
71 Clemson 53.4% +0.88 81 34
72 Ohio 53.4% +0.88 80 31
73 Arizona 53.3% +0.85 80 37
74 Winthrop 53.3% +0.85 80 31
75 Wofford 53.2% +0.83 80 33
76 Louisville 53.2% +0.82 79 35
77 North Florida 53.2% +0.82 79 30
78 Holy Cross 53.1% +0.78 79 30
79 Kansas 53.1% +0.77 79 34
80 Dayton 53.0% +0.75 78 33
81 McNeese 53.0% +0.75 78 33
82 Rhode Island 52.8% +0.69 78 30
83 UCLA 52.8% +0.69 77 34
84 San Francisco 52.8% +0.68 77 34
85 Montana State 52.8% +0.68 77 32
86 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 52.8% +0.68 77 30
87 Loyola Chicago 52.7% +0.64 76 36
88 Virginia 52.7% +0.64 76 32
89 Texas 52.6% +0.63 76 35
90 Columbia 52.6% +0.63 75 25
91 Omaha 52.6% +0.62 75 33
92 Boise State 52.6% +0.61 75 36
93 Tennessee 52.5% +0.60 75 38
94 Oregon 52.5% +0.60 74 35
95 DePaul 52.5% +0.59 74 34
96 Louisiana Tech 52.5% +0.58 74 29
97 Queens University 52.5% +0.58 74 32
98 Illinois 52.4% +0.56 73 35
99 Eastern Michigan 52.4% +0.55 73 31
100 VCU 52.4% +0.54 73 34
101 Charleston 52.4% +0.54 72 32
102 Davidson 52.4% +0.54 72 32
103 Norfolk State 52.2% +0.49 72 32
104 Arkansas 52.2% +0.49 72 36
105 Pittsburgh 52.2% +0.49 71 32
106 Central Connecticut 52.2% +0.48 71 30
107 Drexel 52.2% +0.48 71 32
108 Providence 52.1% +0.46 71 32
109 Georgia 52.1% +0.45 70 33
110 UNC Wilmington 52.1% +0.44 70 33
111 Nebraska 52.1% +0.44 70 35
112 Niagara 52.0% +0.43 69 30
113 American University 52.0% +0.43 69 33
114 UNC Asheville 52.0% +0.41 69 28
115 Marquette 52.0% +0.41 69 34
116 Miami 51.9% +0.40 68 31
117 Mississippi State 51.9% +0.39 68 34
118 Gardner-Webb 51.9% +0.38 68 31
119 Saint Francis 51.8% +0.35 67 31
120 Utah 51.8% +0.34 67 33
121 Idaho 51.8% +0.34 67 31
122 Tulane 51.7% +0.33 67 32
123 Cal State Northridge 51.7% +0.33 66 31
124 Houston 51.7% +0.32 66 40
125 George Mason 51.7% +0.32 66 35
126 Notre Dame 51.7% +0.31 66 33
127 UT Arlington 51.7% +0.31 65 29
128 UC Irvine 51.7% +0.31 65 38
129 UT Rio Grande Valley 51.7% +0.31 65 27
130 Saint Joseph's 51.6% +0.29 64 35
131 Maine 51.6% +0.27 64 32
132 Binghamton 51.6% +0.27 64 29
133 Southern Illinois 51.6% +0.27 64 31
134 Vanderbilt 51.5% +0.27 63 33
135 Le Moyne 51.5% +0.26 63 30
136 Incarnate Word 51.5% +0.25 63 32
137 Princeton 51.5% +0.24 63 28
138 Arizona State 51.5% +0.23 62 33
139 Ole Miss 51.4% +0.23 62 36
140 Milwaukee 51.4% +0.22 62 30
141 Tennessee State 51.3% +0.20 61 30
142 North Alabama 51.3% +0.19 61 33
143 Southeast Missouri State 51.3% +0.19 61 30
144 Ball State 51.3% +0.19 61 28
145 Longwood 51.3% +0.19 60 29
146 Virginia Tech 51.2% +0.16 60 32
147 Canisius 51.2% +0.14 60 31
148 Robert Morris 51.2% +0.14 60 34
149 Baylor 51.1% +0.13 59 34
150 Radford 51.1% +0.13 59 31
151 Presbyterian 51.1% +0.13 59 30
152 Brown 51.1% +0.13 58 26
153 Indiana 51.1% +0.13 58 32
154 Lehigh 51.1% +0.12 58 28
155 North Texas 51.1% +0.12 58 34
156 LSU 51.1% +0.11 57 32
157 UIC 51.1% +0.10 57 29
158 Cincinnati 51.1% +0.10 57 35
159 Northeastern 51.1% +0.10 56 32
160 Stonehill 51.1% +0.10 56 30
161 Syracuse 51.0% +0.10 56 33
162 Florida A&M 51.0% +0.08 56 28
163 Sacred Heart 51.0% +0.08 55 32
164 Sam Houston 51.0% +0.07 55 29
165 Eastern Washington 50.9% +0.06 55 30
166 Middle Tennessee 50.9% +0.06 55 32
167 Missouri State 50.9% +0.06 54 30
168 Green Bay 50.9% +0.05 54 31
169 Mount St. Mary's 50.9% +0.05 54 35
170 Michigan State 50.9% +0.04 53 37
171 New Mexico 50.8% +0.02 53 34
172 South Alabama 50.8% +0.02 53 30
173 South Carolina State 50.8% +0.02 53 30
174 Manhattan 50.8% +0.01 52 30
175 Texas State 50.7% -0.00 52 30
176 Kansas State 50.7% -0.00 52 32
177 Florida State 50.7% -0.02 52 32
178 Grand Canyon 50.7% -0.02 51 33
179 Tennessee Tech 50.7% -0.02 51 30
180 Bryant 50.7% -0.03 51 33
181 UNC Greensboro 50.7% -0.03 50 29
182 Stanford 50.7% -0.03 50 35
183 Utah Valley 50.6% -0.04 50 32
184 Georgia Southern 50.6% -0.04 50 32
185 Washington 50.6% -0.05 49 30
186 George Washington 50.6% -0.05 49 33
187 Hawai'i 50.6% -0.06 49 29
188 Harvard 50.6% -0.06 48 26
189 Rutgers 50.6% -0.06 48 32
190 Toledo 50.5% -0.08 48 32
191 Portland State 50.5% -0.09 48 29
192 San Diego State 50.5% -0.09 47 30
193 James Madison 50.5% -0.09 47 29
194 IU Indianapolis 50.4% -0.11 47 29
195 Colorado 50.4% -0.12 47 35
196 Georgia State 50.4% -0.12 46 32
197 Elon 50.4% -0.13 46 31
198 Georgetown 50.4% -0.13 46 34
199 Denver 50.3% -0.14 45 29
200 Northern Arizona 50.3% -0.14 45 30
201 Wyoming 50.3% -0.14 45 31
202 San José State 50.3% -0.15 45 33
203 Dartmouth 50.3% -0.16 44 26
204 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 50.3% -0.16 44 29
205 East Tennessee State 50.3% -0.17 44 30
206 Saint Mary's 50.2% -0.17 44 34
207 Lafayette 50.2% -0.18 43 32
208 Loyola Marymount 50.2% -0.18 43 31
209 Georgia Tech 50.2% -0.18 43 34
210 Boston University 50.2% -0.19 42 31
211 Weber State 50.2% -0.19 42 31
212 UAB 50.2% -0.20 42 36
213 Jacksonville 50.2% -0.20 42 31
214 Loyola Maryland 50.1% -0.20 41 30
215 Portland 50.1% -0.20 41 30
216 Oakland 50.1% -0.21 41 33
217 Western Illinois 50.1% -0.21 40 28
218 North Carolina Central 50.1% -0.21 40 29
219 Air Force 50.1% -0.22 40 32
220 South Dakota 50.1% -0.23 40 30
221 West Virginia 50.0% -0.26 39 32
222 Duquesne 50.0% -0.26 39 31
223 Campbell 50.0% -0.26 39 30
224 Oral Roberts 50.0% -0.26 39 26
225 Marshall 49.9% -0.27 38 31
226 St. Bonaventure 49.9% -0.28 38 33
227 Temple 49.9% -0.28 38 31
228 Bowling Green 49.9% -0.28 37 29
229 Stetson 49.9% -0.28 37 29
230 Marist 49.9% -0.29 37 30
231 Minnesota 49.9% -0.30 37 32
232 Northern Kentucky 49.8% -0.32 36 31
233 Troy 49.8% -0.33 36 32
234 Central Michigan 49.8% -0.33 36 27
235 South Carolina Upstate 49.8% -0.33 36 29
236 Northwestern 49.8% -0.33 35 33
237 Youngstown State 49.8% -0.33 35 32
238 Jacksonville State 49.7% -0.34 35 33
239 South Florida 49.7% -0.35 34 31
240 UNLV 49.7% -0.35 34 33
241 Eastern Kentucky 49.7% -0.35 34 30
242 UTSA 49.7% -0.36 34 29
243 North Dakota 49.7% -0.36 33 30
244 UCF 49.7% -0.37 33 37
245 App State 49.6% -0.37 33 29
246 Pepperdine 49.6% -0.38 33 34
247 Arkansas State 49.6% -0.39 32 35
248 Little Rock 49.5% -0.41 32 31
249 Cleveland State 49.5% -0.42 32 33
250 Army 49.5% -0.42 31 31
251 Tulsa 49.5% -0.42 31 31
252 UC Riverside 49.4% -0.44 31 32
253 Coastal Carolina 49.4% -0.44 31 30
254 Pennsylvania 49.4% -0.44 30 27
255 Siena 49.4% -0.46 30 32
256 Merrimack 49.4% -0.47 30 33
257 Wake Forest 49.4% -0.47 29 32
258 Murray State 49.3% -0.47 29 32
259 Kennesaw State 49.3% -0.48 29 30
260 UTEP 49.3% -0.50 29 30
261 UAlbany 49.3% -0.50 28 31
262 St. John's 49.2% -0.52 28 36
263 Long Beach State 49.2% -0.52 28 30
264 SE Louisiana 49.2% -0.53 28 30
265 East Texas A&M 49.2% -0.53 27 31
266 Fairleigh Dickinson 49.1% -0.56 27 30
267 Houston Christian 49.1% -0.56 27 30
268 Vermont 49.0% -0.57 26 31
269 Morgan State 49.0% -0.57 26 28
270 Mercer 48.9% -0.61 26 31
271 Boston College 48.9% -0.61 26 31
272 South Carolina 48.9% -0.63 25 32
273 Hofstra 48.9% -0.63 25 31
274 Buffalo 48.8% -0.65 25 29
275 Delaware State 48.8% -0.66 25 26
276 Evansville 48.8% -0.66 24 31
277 Utah Tech 48.8% -0.67 24 31
278 Northwestern State 48.7% -0.67 24 30
279 Charleston Southern 48.7% -0.69 23 30
280 Austin Peay 48.7% -0.69 23 31
281 Kent State 48.7% -0.69 23 34
282 Mercyhurst 48.6% -0.71 23 28
283 Fordham 48.6% -0.71 22 32
284 Wichita State 48.6% -0.72 22 33
285 Oklahoma State 48.6% -0.73 22 35
286 Rice 48.6% -0.73 21 31
287 VMI 48.5% -0.75 21 30
288 SIU Edwardsville 48.5% -0.75 21 31
289 Kansas City 48.4% -0.78 21 29
290 East Carolina 48.4% -0.78 20 31
291 Quinnipiac 48.4% -0.79 20 32
292 Richmond 48.4% -0.80 20 30
293 Charlotte 48.3% -0.81 20 32
294 NC State 48.3% -0.82 19 31
295 California Baptist 48.3% -0.83 19 32
296 Cal State Bakersfield 48.2% -0.84 19 31
297 Bethune-Cookman 48.2% -0.86 18 33
298 Prairie View A&M 48.2% -0.87 18 31
299 Pacific 48.1% -0.87 18 31
300 Nicholls 48.1% -0.89 18 30
301 Sacramento State 48.0% -0.92 17 29
302 Navy 48.0% -0.92 17 33
303 Towson 47.9% -0.94 17 32
304 Southern Indiana 47.9% -0.97 17 28
305 Western Kentucky 47.9% -0.97 16 30
306 Southern Miss 47.8% -0.98 16 29
307 California 47.8% -0.99 16 33
308 Idaho State 47.8% -0.99 15 27
309 Valparaiso 47.7% -1.02 15 32
310 Jackson State 47.7% -1.02 15 34
311 Stony Brook 47.7% -1.03 15 31
312 Rider 47.7% -1.03 14 33
313 Long Island University 47.7% -1.03 14 31
314 UT Martin 47.6% -1.06 14 30
315 Texas A&M 47.6% -1.06 13 34
316 Iona 47.5% -1.08 13 34
317 Hampton 47.5% -1.09 13 30
318 Texas Southern 47.5% -1.11 13 29
319 Central Arkansas 47.4% -1.11 12 31
320 Grambling 47.3% -1.16 12 31
321 Lamar 47.2% -1.17 12 30
322 Southern 47.2% -1.18 12 29
323 Monmouth 47.2% -1.19 11 33
324 West Georgia 47.2% -1.19 11 30
325 New Hampshire 47.1% -1.21 11 30
326 Northern Illinois 47.1% -1.22 10 28
327 Western Michigan 47.0% -1.26 10 31
328 Alabama State 47.0% -1.26 10 35
329 The Citadel 46.9% -1.29 10 26
330 Southern Utah 46.8% -1.34 9 28
331 Abilene Christian 46.7% -1.36 9 29
332 Stephen F. Austin 46.7% -1.37 9 28
333 Seattle U 46.5% -1.41 9 30
334 Fairfield 46.3% -1.48 8 31
335 UC Davis 46.3% -1.51 8 30
336 New Mexico State 46.2% -1.54 8 29
337 Florida International 46.1% -1.55 7 31
338 Alcorn State 46.1% -1.56 7 31
339 Fresno State 46.1% -1.56 7 32
340 TCU 46.1% -1.57 7 31
341 La Salle 46.1% -1.58 6 32
342 Morehead State 45.9% -1.61 6 29
343 Tarleton State 45.9% -1.63 6 29
344 New Orleans 45.9% -1.64 6 31
345 North Carolina A&T 45.8% -1.65 5 31
346 Louisiana 45.7% -1.68 5 32
347 San Diego 45.7% -1.69 5 32
348 Maryland Eastern Shore 45.7% -1.71 4 27
349 Detroit Mercy 45.6% -1.73 4 31
350 Western Carolina 45.4% -1.79 4 27
351 NJIT 45.3% -1.82 4 30
352 Massachusetts 45.1% -1.89 3 31
353 Alabama A&M 45.1% -1.90 3 29
354 UL Monroe 45.0% -1.92 3 30
355 Lindenwood 45.0% -1.92 2 30
356 Seton Hall 44.7% -2.01 2 32
357 Saint Peter's 44.7% -2.04 2 27
358 Chicago State 44.4% -2.13 2 32
359 Cal State Fullerton 44.2% -2.21 1 30
360 Eastern Illinois 44.1% -2.23 1 28
361 Old Dominion 44.1% -2.23 1 33
362 Coppin State 44.0% -2.27 1 29
363 Wagner 43.7% -2.35 0 26
364 Mississippi Valley State 42.1% -2.90 0 29