Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
← Scoring

Scoring Volatility

How much a team's game margins swing — the standard deviation of margin.

Sample standard deviation of per-game scoring margin. Low volatility means consistent performances; high volatility means blowouts mixed with duds, which makes a team's record less predictive.

Lower is better  ·  league avg 13.8  ·  as of 2024-04-09

Does it predict winners?

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 8.9 max 21.4 mean 13.8 std 2.1 (n=362)

Team Rankings

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# Team Scoring Volatility z Pctl GP
1 Cal Poly 8.9 -2.37 100 31
2 Brown 9.0 -2.34 100 30
3 High Point 9.2 -2.25 99 34
4 South Carolina Upstate 9.2 -2.23 99 27
5 Kennesaw State 9.5 -2.10 99 28
6 Presbyterian 9.7 -1.99 99 30
7 Gardner-Webb 9.8 -1.93 98 30
8 Buffalo 10.2 -1.74 98 30
9 Georgia 10.3 -1.71 98 37
10 Cornell 10.3 -1.71 98 28
11 Ohio 10.4 -1.65 97 32
12 Austin Peay 10.5 -1.60 97 32
13 UTSA 10.6 -1.57 97 31
14 Long Beach State 10.6 -1.57 96 34
15 North Dakota State 10.6 -1.54 96 29
16 Western Kentucky 10.7 -1.53 96 31
17 Oral Roberts 10.7 -1.53 96 28
18 Princeton 10.7 -1.52 95 27
19 Howard 10.7 -1.51 95 33
20 Jacksonville State 10.8 -1.48 95 29
21 Vermont 10.8 -1.46 94 33
22 Coastal Carolina 10.8 -1.46 94 29
23 Cleveland State 10.8 -1.45 94 35
24 UTEP 10.8 -1.44 94 31
25 Loyola Maryland 10.9 -1.42 93 31
26 Incarnate Word 10.9 -1.41 93 29
27 Lehigh 11.0 -1.35 93 30
28 UT Rio Grande Valley 11.1 -1.34 93 29
29 Northeastern 11.1 -1.32 92 32
30 UAB 11.1 -1.31 92 34
31 Dayton 11.1 -1.31 92 33
32 UMBC 11.1 -1.31 91 31
33 Illinois State 11.1 -1.31 91 31
34 North Alabama 11.2 -1.29 91 30
35 Temple 11.2 -1.28 91 35
36 Louisiana Tech 11.2 -1.27 90 29
37 Duquesne 11.2 -1.25 90 36
38 Sacramento State 11.3 -1.23 90 32
39 Grand Canyon 11.3 -1.21 89 34
40 Akron 11.4 -1.18 89 33
41 Oregon 11.4 -1.15 89 36
42 Central Connecticut 11.4 -1.15 89 29
43 UMass Lowell 11.5 -1.14 88 29
44 Charlotte 11.5 -1.14 88 30
45 Northern Colorado 11.5 -1.13 88 31
46 Colorado State 11.5 -1.11 88 34
47 Niagara 11.5 -1.11 87 31
48 Detroit Mercy 11.5 -1.11 87 32
49 Charleston 11.6 -1.08 87 34
50 Idaho State 11.6 -1.07 86 32
51 Navy 11.6 -1.05 86 30
52 Massachusetts 11.7 -1.04 86 31
53 California 11.7 -1.02 86 32
54 Old Dominion 11.7 -1.02 85 31
55 Valparaiso 11.8 -1.00 85 31
56 VCU 11.8 -0.99 85 38
57 Maine 11.8 -0.99 84 31
58 Milwaukee 11.8 -0.96 84 33
59 App State 11.8 -0.96 84 32
60 Seattle U 11.9 -0.93 84 36
61 South Florida 11.9 -0.92 83 33
62 Chicago State 11.9 -0.91 83 29
63 North Texas 11.9 -0.91 83 32
64 Columbia 12.0 -0.90 83 24
65 Boston College 12.0 -0.89 82 36
66 Cal State Fullerton 12.0 -0.88 82 30
67 Canisius 12.0 -0.87 82 31
68 Fordham 12.0 -0.87 81 33
69 Iona 12.0 -0.86 81 33
70 Southern Indiana 12.0 -0.85 81 29
71 Southern Utah 12.1 -0.85 81 29
72 Georgia State 12.1 -0.84 80 29
73 Montana State 12.1 -0.82 80 32
74 Saint Francis 12.1 -0.82 80 28
75 New Hampshire 12.1 -0.81 80 30
76 Saint Louis 12.1 -0.81 79 32
77 UIC 12.2 -0.80 79 32
78 Wofford 12.2 -0.80 79 29
79 Memphis 12.2 -0.80 78 32
80 UC Irvine 12.2 -0.79 78 33
81 NC State 12.2 -0.79 78 41
82 Yale 12.2 -0.78 78 31
83 La Salle 12.2 -0.76 77 32
84 Bowling Green 12.3 -0.75 77 32
85 Elon 12.3 -0.74 77 30
86 Southeast Missouri State 12.3 -0.74 76 27
87 Boston University 12.3 -0.72 76 32
88 NJIT 12.3 -0.71 76 27
89 Army 12.3 -0.71 76 30
90 Abilene Christian 12.4 -0.70 75 33
91 Troy 12.4 -0.69 75 29
92 Hampton 12.4 -0.69 75 30
93 Utah Tech 12.4 -0.68 75 30
94 George Mason 12.4 -0.68 74 31
95 Lafayette 12.4 -0.67 74 31
96 Vanderbilt 12.4 -0.66 74 32
97 Clemson 12.5 -0.64 73 36
98 East Tennessee State 12.5 -0.63 73 33
99 West Virginia 12.5 -0.63 73 32
100 St. Thomas-Minnesota 12.5 -0.63 73 30
101 Central Arkansas 12.5 -0.61 72 30
102 William & Mary 12.6 -0.60 72 31
103 Florida State 12.6 -0.60 72 33
104 Florida International 12.6 -0.60 71 32
105 North Carolina 12.6 -0.59 71 37
106 Georgia Tech 12.6 -0.58 71 32
107 Wichita State 12.7 -0.55 71 33
108 Indiana 12.7 -0.55 70 33
109 Alabama State 12.7 -0.54 70 29
110 Furman 12.7 -0.54 70 30
111 Louisville 12.7 -0.53 70 32
112 Fairfield 12.7 -0.52 69 36
113 Denver 12.7 -0.52 69 30
114 Hawai'i 12.7 -0.52 69 32
115 Toledo 12.7 -0.51 68 32
116 Merrimack 12.7 -0.51 68 31
117 Davidson 12.7 -0.51 68 30
118 Washington 12.8 -0.51 68 32
119 Loyola Chicago 12.8 -0.51 67 32
120 UC Santa Barbara 12.8 -0.50 67 29
121 SIU Edwardsville 12.8 -0.50 67 30
122 Harvard 12.8 -0.49 66 26
123 Campbell 12.8 -0.49 66 29
124 Maryland Eastern Shore 12.8 -0.47 66 25
125 Radford 12.9 -0.46 66 31
126 Northern Illinois 12.9 -0.45 65 29
127 Northwestern 12.9 -0.44 65 34
128 UNLV 12.9 -0.44 65 32
129 Monmouth 12.9 -0.44 65 33
130 Siena 12.9 -0.43 64 32
131 Dartmouth 12.9 -0.42 64 25
132 Florida Atlantic 13.0 -0.41 64 34
133 Florida 13.0 -0.41 63 36
134 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 13.0 -0.38 63 29
135 South Dakota State 13.0 -0.37 63 32
136 Hofstra 13.1 -0.36 63 32
137 Purdue Fort Wayne 13.1 -0.36 62 34
138 Fairleigh Dickinson 13.1 -0.34 62 30
139 Jackson State 13.1 -0.34 62 32
140 Quinnipiac 13.1 -0.33 61 33
141 Drexel 13.1 -0.33 61 31
142 Wagner 13.1 -0.32 61 31
143 Cal State Bakersfield 13.1 -0.32 61 30
144 Omaha 13.2 -0.31 60 29
145 Tarleton State 13.2 -0.30 60 32
146 Ball State 13.2 -0.30 60 29
147 The Citadel 13.2 -0.29 60 29
148 Mount St. Mary's 13.2 -0.29 59 32
149 Georgia Southern 13.2 -0.29 59 33
150 San José State 13.2 -0.28 59 31
151 East Carolina 13.2 -0.27 58 32
152 North Carolina A&T 13.3 -0.26 58 32
153 Sam Houston 13.3 -0.26 58 31
154 Portland State 13.3 -0.25 58 29
155 Bellarmine 13.3 -0.25 57 28
156 Richmond 13.4 -0.22 57 33
157 UC Davis 13.4 -0.22 57 31
158 Southern Miss 13.4 -0.21 57 30
159 Notre Dame 13.4 -0.21 56 33
160 San Diego State 13.4 -0.19 56 35
161 Western Michigan 13.4 -0.19 56 31
162 Utah Valley 13.4 -0.18 55 30
163 Louisiana 13.5 -0.17 55 31
164 Marist 13.5 -0.16 55 31
165 UNC Asheville 13.5 -0.15 55 31
166 Manhattan 13.5 -0.15 54 29
167 Coppin State 13.5 -0.15 54 29
168 Charleston Southern 13.5 -0.14 54 27
169 Lindenwood 13.5 -0.14 53 28
170 Winthrop 13.5 -0.14 53 29
171 Alabama A&M 13.6 -0.12 53 35
172 UNC Wilmington 13.6 -0.10 53 28
173 UC San Diego 13.6 -0.10 52 31
174 Northern Iowa 13.6 -0.09 52 32
175 Cal State Northridge 13.6 -0.09 52 32
176 Mercer 13.7 -0.07 52 30
177 Wisconsin 13.7 -0.06 51 36
178 Oregon State 13.7 -0.06 51 31
179 Washington State 13.7 -0.05 51 35
180 Illinois 13.7 -0.04 50 38
181 Bethune-Cookman 13.7 -0.04 50 32
182 Delaware State 13.7 -0.03 50 32
183 Delaware 13.8 -0.02 50 32
184 Arkansas State 13.8 -0.02 49 37
185 Eastern Michigan 13.8 -0.01 49 29
186 American University 13.8 -0.01 49 31
187 Lipscomb 13.8 -0.01 48 30
188 Bradley 13.8 -0.00 48 34
189 California Baptist 13.8 -0.00 48 31
190 Marshall 13.8 +0.00 48 32
191 Eastern Illinois 13.8 +0.01 47 28
192 McNeese 13.8 +0.01 47 30
193 Saint Joseph's 13.8 +0.02 47 35
194 Prairie View A&M 13.8 +0.02 47 29
195 Western Carolina 13.9 +0.03 46 29
196 Weber State 13.9 +0.03 46 29
197 Tennessee State 13.9 +0.04 46 29
198 Missouri State 13.9 +0.04 45 33
199 Florida Gulf Coast 13.9 +0.05 45 29
200 Ole Miss 13.9 +0.05 45 32
201 Missouri 13.9 +0.06 45 32
202 UC Riverside 14.0 +0.08 44 32
203 South Dakota 14.0 +0.08 44 29
204 UL Monroe 14.0 +0.09 44 28
205 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 14.0 +0.09 43 27
206 Nicholls 14.0 +0.10 43 31
207 Lamar 14.0 +0.10 43 31
208 UCLA 14.0 +0.11 43 32
209 Texas State 14.0 +0.11 42 33
210 Northern Kentucky 14.0 +0.12 42 31
211 Ohio State 14.1 +0.12 42 36
212 Kansas State 14.1 +0.13 42 34
213 Oakland 14.1 +0.13 41 36
214 Queens University 14.1 +0.13 41 31
215 UT Martin 14.1 +0.15 41 28
216 Duke 14.1 +0.16 40 36
217 Bucknell 14.1 +0.16 40 33
218 Auburn 14.1 +0.16 40 35
219 Saint Peter's 14.1 +0.16 40 32
220 DePaul 14.2 +0.17 39 32
221 Rhode Island 14.2 +0.18 39 31
222 Idaho 14.2 +0.18 39 30
223 Wright State 14.2 +0.19 39 30
224 Tulane 14.2 +0.19 38 30
225 VMI 14.2 +0.19 38 29
226 North Florida 14.2 +0.20 38 29
227 Western Illinois 14.2 +0.20 37 29
228 James Madison 14.2 +0.21 37 35
229 Towson 14.3 +0.22 37 33
230 Stony Brook 14.3 +0.23 37 34
231 IU Indianapolis 14.3 +0.23 36 29
232 Mississippi State 14.3 +0.24 36 35
233 Pennsylvania 14.3 +0.24 36 27
234 Holy Cross 14.3 +0.25 35 32
235 Robert Morris 14.3 +0.26 35 30
236 Murray State 14.3 +0.26 35 31
237 Kentucky 14.4 +0.30 35 33
238 Middle Tennessee 14.4 +0.30 34 31
239 Wake Forest 14.4 +0.30 34 35
240 Indiana State 14.4 +0.30 34 38
241 Kent State 14.4 +0.31 34 32
242 New Mexico State 14.5 +0.32 33 28
243 Norfolk State 14.5 +0.34 33 31
244 Longwood 14.5 +0.35 33 32
245 Youngstown State 14.5 +0.35 32 28
246 Southern Illinois 14.5 +0.35 32 31
247 Wyoming 14.5 +0.36 32 30
248 Drake 14.5 +0.36 32 34
249 Texas A&M 14.6 +0.37 31 36
250 Providence 14.6 +0.38 31 35
251 Eastern Kentucky 14.6 +0.39 31 28
252 Purdue 14.6 +0.39 30 39
253 Georgetown 14.6 +0.40 30 32
254 USC 14.7 +0.42 30 33
255 St. Bonaventure 14.7 +0.42 30 33
256 Bryant 14.7 +0.43 29 31
257 Sacred Heart 14.7 +0.43 29 30
258 Little Rock 14.7 +0.44 29 34
259 UConn 14.7 +0.45 29 40
260 Cincinnati 14.7 +0.45 28 37
261 Arkansas 14.7 +0.46 28 33
262 Maryland 14.8 +0.46 28 33
263 Long Island University 14.8 +0.46 27 29
264 Michigan 14.8 +0.51 27 32
265 Binghamton 14.9 +0.54 27 28
266 Nevada 14.9 +0.55 27 33
267 Penn State 14.9 +0.56 26 33
268 Oklahoma State 15.0 +0.58 26 32
269 Minnesota 15.0 +0.59 26 34
270 Tennessee 15.0 +0.59 25 36
271 UNC Greensboro 15.0 +0.59 25 30
272 Villanova 15.1 +0.62 25 34
273 George Washington 15.1 +0.62 25 31
274 Stephen F. Austin 15.1 +0.63 24 31
275 East Texas A&M 15.1 +0.63 24 30
276 South Carolina State 15.1 +0.64 24 30
277 Syracuse 15.2 +0.68 24 31
278 St. John's 15.2 +0.68 23 33
279 Michigan State 15.2 +0.69 23 35
280 UAlbany 15.3 +0.72 23 31
281 Colgate 15.3 +0.73 22 34
282 Eastern Washington 15.3 +0.74 22 30
283 Stanford 15.3 +0.75 22 32
284 South Carolina 15.4 +0.76 22 34
285 Morehead State 15.4 +0.77 21 31
286 Houston Christian 15.4 +0.78 21 27
287 Texas Tech 15.4 +0.78 21 34
288 Gonzaga 15.5 +0.80 20 34
289 New Orleans 15.5 +0.81 20 29
290 Belmont 15.5 +0.82 20 32
291 New Mexico 15.6 +0.87 20 35
292 Tennessee Tech 15.6 +0.87 19 28
293 Florida A&M 15.6 +0.88 19 27
294 Marquette 15.6 +0.88 19 37
295 Arizona State 15.6 +0.88 19 32
296 Utah State 15.6 +0.88 18 33
297 Stetson 15.6 +0.88 18 32
298 Green Bay 15.6 +0.89 18 30
299 Portland 15.6 +0.89 17 31
300 Tulsa 15.7 +0.91 17 30
301 UT Arlington 15.7 +0.93 17 32
302 Air Force 15.7 +0.94 17 31
303 Kansas City 15.7 +0.94 16 29
304 North Dakota 15.8 +0.95 16 29
305 Santa Clara 15.8 +0.97 16 32
306 Colorado 15.8 +0.97 16 37
307 Texas 15.9 +1.00 15 34
308 TCU 15.9 +1.00 15 34
309 SMU 15.9 +1.00 15 32
310 Texas Southern 15.9 +1.02 14 32
311 UCF 16.0 +1.05 14 33
312 San Francisco 16.0 +1.07 14 33
313 SE Louisiana 16.0 +1.07 14 29
314 Nebraska 16.1 +1.12 13 34
315 Butler 16.1 +1.14 13 32
316 Boise State 16.2 +1.15 13 31
317 Seton Hall 16.2 +1.15 12 37
318 San Diego 16.2 +1.16 12 31
319 Miami (OH) 16.3 +1.20 12 30
320 Fresno State 16.4 +1.24 12 32
321 Pacific 16.4 +1.25 11 30
322 Mississippi Valley State 16.4 +1.28 11 31
323 Xavier 16.4 +1.28 11 34
324 Oklahoma 16.5 +1.29 11 32
325 North Carolina Central 16.5 +1.30 10 27
326 LSU 16.5 +1.31 10 33
327 Alcorn State 16.6 +1.34 10 31
328 Rutgers 16.6 +1.36 9 32
329 Iowa 16.6 +1.37 9 34
330 Rider 16.6 +1.38 9 31
331 Stonehill 16.7 +1.39 9 31
332 Creighton 16.7 +1.43 8 35
333 Loyola Marymount 16.8 +1.45 8 30
334 Houston 16.8 +1.45 8 37
335 Jacksonville 16.9 +1.52 7 30
336 South Alabama 17.0 +1.56 7 29
337 Virginia Tech 17.1 +1.61 7 34
338 Kansas 17.2 +1.63 7 33
339 Grambling 17.3 +1.68 6 33
340 Chattanooga 17.3 +1.69 6 31
341 Rice 17.3 +1.69 6 31
342 Montana 17.3 +1.71 6 33
343 Central Michigan 17.5 +1.78 5 31
344 Samford 17.5 +1.81 5 33
345 Morgan State 17.6 +1.87 5 28
346 Baylor 17.7 +1.89 4 34
347 Northern Arizona 17.7 +1.91 4 33
348 Southern 17.7 +1.92 4 29
349 Evansville 17.8 +1.93 4 34
350 Iowa State 17.9 +2.01 3 37
351 Le Moyne 17.9 +2.01 3 29
352 Arizona 18.1 +2.11 3 36
353 Northwestern State 18.3 +2.18 2 30
354 Liberty 18.5 +2.27 2 29
355 Utah 18.6 +2.31 2 37
356 Pittsburgh 18.7 +2.40 2 33
357 Saint Mary's 19.0 +2.51 1 33
358 Virginia 19.0 +2.52 1 34
359 BYU 19.3 +2.67 1 34
360 Miami 19.3 +2.68 1 32
361 Alabama 19.6 +2.83 0 37
362 Pepperdine 21.4 +3.69 0 31