What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

Based on 5499 of 5721 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 12.5 max 23.0 mean 17.1 std 1.7 (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Personal Fouls Per Game z Pctl GP
1 Colgate 12.5 -2.68 100 34
2 Creighton 13.1 -2.32 100 37
3 Syracuse 13.3 -2.20 99 32
4 Butler 13.4 -2.16 99 32
5 Oral Roberts 13.5 -2.08 99 31
6 Charlotte 13.6 -2.06 99 36
7 Purdue 13.7 -2.00 98 35
8 Dayton 13.8 -1.92 98 34
9 North Florida 14.0 -1.81 98 29
10 Oakland 14.0 -1.79 98 31
11 App State 14.0 -1.79 97 29
12 Central Connecticut 14.1 -1.76 97 32
13 Nebraska 14.1 -1.74 97 32
14 Miami 14.2 -1.67 96 37
15 Notre Dame 14.3 -1.67 96 32
16 Virginia 14.3 -1.65 96 33
17 Lipscomb 14.4 -1.60 96 30
18 South Dakota State 14.4 -1.57 95 31
19 Georgetown 14.4 -1.56 95 32
20 UMBC 14.5 -1.49 95 31
21 Hofstra 14.6 -1.48 94 34
22 Drexel 14.6 -1.47 94 31
23 Wofford 14.6 -1.46 94 30
24 Murray State 14.7 -1.41 94 31
25 Merrimack 14.7 -1.41 93 32
26 Oregon 14.7 -1.39 93 36
27 Jacksonville 14.8 -1.36 93 26
28 Hartford 14.8 -1.34 93 25
29 Harvard 14.8 -1.34 92 26
30 South Alabama 14.8 -1.33 92 33
31 Purdue Fort Wayne 14.8 -1.32 92 30
32 Western Kentucky 14.9 -1.30 91 31
33 Vermont 14.9 -1.28 91 33
34 Iowa 14.9 -1.26 91 33
35 Wichita State 15.0 -1.24 91 32
36 Western Illinois 15.0 -1.22 90 27
37 Providence 15.0 -1.21 90 33
38 Sacred Heart 15.0 -1.21 90 32
39 Drake 15.1 -1.19 90 34
40 Davidson 15.1 -1.19 89 31
41 American University 15.1 -1.17 89 32
42 Maine 15.1 -1.16 89 28
43 Stonehill 15.1 -1.15 88 30
44 Richmond 15.2 -1.13 88 33
45 Mississippi State 15.2 -1.10 88 34
46 VMI 15.2 -1.10 88 29
47 Utah 15.2 -1.09 87 32
48 Duke 15.3 -1.08 87 36
49 New Hampshire 15.3 -1.08 87 28
50 Liberty 15.3 -1.06 86 33
51 Lafayette 15.4 -1.00 86 34
52 Fairfield 15.4 -0.99 86 30
53 Marist 15.4 -0.97 86 33
54 Penn State 15.5 -0.95 85 37
55 East Tennessee State 15.5 -0.95 85 30
56 Tulsa 15.5 -0.95 85 30
57 Texas Tech 15.5 -0.95 85 32
58 Virginia Tech 15.5 -0.95 84 34
59 UCLA 15.5 -0.94 84 37
60 Northern Kentucky 15.5 -0.92 84 33
61 Michigan 15.5 -0.91 83 34
62 St. Francis Brooklyn 15.5 -0.91 83 28
63 Florida Gulf Coast 15.6 -0.88 83 31
64 NJIT 15.6 -0.88 83 29
65 Bucknell 15.6 -0.86 82 31
66 Minnesota 15.6 -0.86 82 31
67 Northern Iowa 15.6 -0.86 82 31
68 Stony Brook 15.6 -0.86 81 31
69 Canisius 15.6 -0.86 81 29
70 San José State 15.6 -0.84 81 34
71 UL Monroe 15.7 -0.84 81 29
72 UNC Asheville 15.7 -0.83 80 33
73 Wyoming 15.7 -0.81 80 30
74 Florida Atlantic 15.7 -0.81 80 37
75 Eastern Kentucky 15.7 -0.81 80 34
76 North Dakota State 15.7 -0.79 79 31
77 Rice 15.8 -0.76 79 32
78 Boston College 15.8 -0.76 79 33
79 Princeton 15.8 -0.75 78 30
80 Belmont 15.8 -0.75 78 31
81 Missouri State 15.8 -0.75 78 31
82 Wright State 15.8 -0.75 78 31
83 Villanova 15.8 -0.74 77 34
84 Wisconsin 15.8 -0.73 77 35
85 Stetson 15.9 -0.72 77 29
86 Morehead State 15.9 -0.71 77 30
87 Sacramento State 15.9 -0.71 76 30
88 Georgia Tech 15.9 -0.69 76 31
89 Ole Miss 15.9 -0.69 76 33
90 Rutgers 16.0 -0.65 75 34
91 Lamar 16.0 -0.63 75 28
92 Loyola Maryland 16.0 -0.63 75 31
93 Santa Clara 16.0 -0.63 75 32
94 South Carolina 16.0 -0.63 74 32
95 Maryland 16.0 -0.62 74 35
96 Washington State 16.0 -0.62 74 34
97 Wake Forest 16.0 -0.62 73 33
98 Xavier 16.1 -0.60 73 37
99 Kentucky 16.1 -0.60 73 34
100 Georgia 16.1 -0.60 73 32
101 Navy 16.1 -0.59 72 30
102 UC San Diego 16.1 -0.59 72 28
103 Niagara 16.1 -0.57 72 30
104 Cincinnati 16.1 -0.55 72 35
105 Florida 16.2 -0.54 71 33
106 Hawai'i 16.2 -0.54 71 32
107 North Dakota 16.2 -0.54 71 31
108 Fresno State 16.2 -0.54 70 30
109 Queens University 16.2 -0.54 70 30
110 Northwestern 16.2 -0.53 70 34
111 Detroit Mercy 16.2 -0.52 70 32
112 Oklahoma 16.2 -0.52 69 32
113 Army 16.2 -0.52 69 31
114 Colorado 16.2 -0.52 69 35
115 St. John's 16.2 -0.51 69 33
116 UC Santa Barbara 16.2 -0.51 68 33
117 Florida State 16.2 -0.50 68 32
118 Marquette 16.2 -0.50 68 36
119 Akron 16.2 -0.50 67 31
120 William & Mary 16.2 -0.50 67 31
121 Iona 16.2 -0.50 67 35
122 Tennessee Tech 16.2 -0.50 67 30
123 Evansville 16.3 -0.49 66 32
124 Pittsburgh 16.3 -0.49 66 36
125 George Washington 16.3 -0.48 66 31
126 Brown 16.3 -0.48 65 27
127 Bradley 16.3 -0.48 65 34
128 Toledo 16.3 -0.48 65 34
129 Holy Cross 16.3 -0.48 65 30
130 Vanderbilt 16.3 -0.44 64 37
131 Central Arkansas 16.3 -0.44 64 30
132 Towson 16.3 -0.44 64 33
133 Youngstown State 16.3 -0.43 64 32
134 Colorado State 16.4 -0.41 63 32
135 Saint Mary's 16.4 -0.41 63 34
136 Elon 16.4 -0.40 63 30
137 Delaware 16.4 -0.39 62 32
138 Chattanooga 16.4 -0.38 62 32
139 Michigan State 16.4 -0.37 62 34
140 Lindenwood 16.4 -0.37 62 29
141 Tulane 16.5 -0.37 61 31
142 Ohio State 16.5 -0.36 61 35
143 VCU 16.5 -0.36 61 35
144 Mount St. Mary's 16.5 -0.36 60 32
145 North Texas 16.5 -0.36 60 36
146 Robert Morris 16.5 -0.35 60 31
147 Boise State 16.5 -0.35 60 33
148 Bellarmine 16.5 -0.34 59 30
149 Louisville 16.5 -0.34 59 32
150 Southern Miss 16.5 -0.34 59 30
151 TCU 16.5 -0.33 59 35
152 Marshall 16.5 -0.33 58 31
153 Washington 16.5 -0.32 58 32
154 Coastal Carolina 16.5 -0.32 58 28
155 Quinnipiac 16.5 -0.31 57 31
156 Tennessee 16.6 -0.31 57 36
157 Indiana State 16.6 -0.30 57 35
158 San Diego State 16.6 -0.28 57 38
159 Gonzaga 16.6 -0.27 56 36
160 Kansas 16.6 -0.27 56 36
161 Manhattan 16.6 -0.27 56 29
162 Southern Illinois 16.6 -0.26 56 32
163 New Mexico 16.6 -0.26 55 33
164 UCF 16.6 -0.25 55 34
165 Saint Francis 16.7 -0.25 55 29
166 Northeastern 16.7 -0.24 54 30
167 Cleveland State 16.7 -0.22 54 33
168 Houston 16.7 -0.22 54 37
169 Austin Peay 16.8 -0.19 54 28
170 Campbell 16.8 -0.19 53 32
171 Lehigh 16.8 -0.19 53 28
172 Arkansas State 16.8 -0.18 53 30
173 Ball State 16.8 -0.18 52 30
174 Valparaiso 16.8 -0.18 52 31
175 Temple 16.8 -0.15 52 32
176 North Carolina 16.8 -0.15 52 33
177 Longwood 16.8 -0.14 51 30
178 North Carolina A&T 16.9 -0.13 51 29
179 Old Dominion 16.9 -0.12 51 30
180 Stanford 16.9 -0.12 51 33
181 Jacksonville State 16.9 -0.11 50 28
182 Utah State 16.9 -0.10 50 34
183 The Citadel 16.9 -0.08 50 31
184 Green Bay 16.9 -0.08 49 32
185 Arizona 16.9 -0.08 49 35
186 LSU 17.0 -0.06 49 33
187 Charleston 17.0 -0.06 49 34
188 Oklahoma State 17.0 -0.06 48 36
189 Air Force 17.0 -0.04 48 32
190 Cornell 17.0 -0.04 48 26
191 Illinois 17.0 -0.04 48 33
192 Siena 17.1 +0.01 47 32
193 North Alabama 17.1 +0.02 47 30
194 UNC Greensboro 17.1 +0.02 47 30
195 Winthrop 17.1 +0.02 46 30
196 Columbia 17.1 +0.02 46 27
197 Radford 17.1 +0.03 46 34
198 Florida International 17.1 +0.03 46 30
199 Indiana 17.1 +0.04 45 35
200 Maryland Eastern Shore 17.1 +0.04 45 27
201 California 17.2 +0.05 45 32
202 Saint Louis 17.2 +0.05 44 32
203 UMass Lowell 17.2 +0.07 44 32
204 Denver 17.2 +0.07 44 30
205 George Mason 17.2 +0.08 44 33
206 USC 17.2 +0.08 43 33
207 Long Beach State 17.2 +0.09 43 31
208 UAB 17.2 +0.10 43 38
209 Furman 17.2 +0.10 43 33
210 UNLV 17.3 +0.11 42 31
211 Louisiana 17.3 +0.13 42 31
212 Idaho 17.3 +0.13 42 30
213 Jackson State 17.3 +0.14 41 33
214 Clemson 17.3 +0.15 41 34
215 Georgia Southern 17.4 +0.17 41 30
216 Troy 17.4 +0.17 41 30
217 SMU 17.4 +0.18 40 32
218 Incarnate Word 17.4 +0.19 40 28
219 Baylor 17.4 +0.20 40 34
220 Louisiana Tech 17.4 +0.21 40 30
221 Howard 17.4 +0.21 39 32
222 Texas 17.4 +0.22 39 38
223 UTSA 17.5 +0.23 39 30
224 NC State 17.5 +0.23 38 34
225 Massachusetts 17.5 +0.24 38 31
226 Saint Joseph's 17.5 +0.26 38 33
227 UIC 17.5 +0.26 38 31
228 Western Michigan 17.5 +0.27 37 28
229 Eastern Washington 17.6 +0.30 37 33
230 California Baptist 17.6 +0.30 37 31
231 Bryant 17.6 +0.31 36 28
232 Dartmouth 17.7 +0.34 36 26
233 East Carolina 17.7 +0.35 36 33
234 Long Island University 17.7 +0.35 36 27
235 Weber State 17.7 +0.36 35 31
236 Boston University 17.7 +0.37 35 30
237 Oregon State 17.7 +0.39 35 31
238 Portland 17.7 +0.39 35 31
239 South Florida 17.8 +0.40 34 32
240 South Dakota 17.8 +0.40 34 29
241 Idaho State 17.8 +0.41 34 30
242 UConn 17.8 +0.41 33 39
243 Yale 17.8 +0.42 33 28
244 La Salle 17.8 +0.44 33 34
245 Utah Valley 17.8 +0.44 33 34
246 Pepperdine 17.8 +0.44 32 29
247 Alabama State 17.8 +0.45 32 30
248 Bethune-Cookman 17.8 +0.45 32 30
249 Western Carolina 17.8 +0.45 31 31
250 Georgia State 17.9 +0.46 31 28
251 SIU Edwardsville 17.9 +0.47 31 30
252 Seton Hall 17.9 +0.47 31 32
253 Middle Tennessee 17.9 +0.49 30 31
254 Mississippi Valley State 17.9 +0.49 30 32
255 Kansas State 17.9 +0.50 30 36
256 SE Louisiana 17.9 +0.51 30 29
257 Milwaukee 17.9 +0.51 29 31
258 St. Thomas-Minnesota 17.9 +0.51 29 31
259 Ohio 17.9 +0.51 29 32
260 Rhode Island 18.0 +0.53 28 31
261 Nevada 18.0 +0.55 28 32
262 Norfolk State 18.0 +0.55 28 29
263 Missouri 18.0 +0.56 28 35
264 Binghamton 18.0 +0.57 27 29
265 Delaware State 18.0 +0.57 27 28
266 Bowling Green 18.1 +0.59 27 29
267 San Diego 18.1 +0.59 27 29
268 Pennsylvania 18.1 +0.63 26 29
269 Cal State Fullerton 18.2 +0.66 26 31
270 Mercer 18.2 +0.66 26 31
271 Texas A&M 18.2 +0.66 25 35
272 Eastern Illinois 18.2 +0.67 25 29
273 Memphis 18.2 +0.68 25 35
274 James Madison 18.2 +0.68 25 30
275 Kennesaw State 18.3 +0.71 24 32
276 DePaul 18.3 +0.73 24 33
277 Rider 18.3 +0.73 24 29
278 Hampton 18.3 +0.74 23 31
279 Sam Houston 18.3 +0.74 23 30
280 Omaha 18.4 +0.76 23 31
281 IU Indianapolis 18.4 +0.76 23 30
282 Grand Canyon 18.4 +0.78 22 33
283 Charleston Southern 18.4 +0.79 22 29
284 Illinois State 18.4 +0.80 22 32
285 Montana 18.5 +0.82 22 30
286 Texas State 18.5 +0.82 21 32
287 Houston Christian 18.5 +0.83 21 29
288 Seattle U 18.5 +0.84 21 30
289 UTEP 18.5 +0.84 20 30
290 Montana State 18.5 +0.85 20 33
291 UAlbany 18.5 +0.85 20 29
292 Northwestern State 18.6 +0.88 20 32
293 West Virginia 18.6 +0.89 19 34
294 Duquesne 18.6 +0.90 19 33
295 Northern Arizona 18.6 +0.90 19 33
296 St. Bonaventure 18.6 +0.92 19 32
297 Southern Indiana 18.6 +0.92 18 30
298 Arizona State 18.6 +0.92 18 36
299 San Francisco 18.7 +0.96 18 33
300 Kansas City 18.7 +0.96 17 30
301 Northern Colorado 18.7 +0.97 17 31
302 Samford 18.7 +0.97 17 28
303 East Texas A&M 18.8 +0.99 17 32
304 UNC Wilmington 18.8 +0.99 16 32
305 Alabama 18.8 +0.99 16 37
306 UC Davis 18.8 +1.02 16 30
307 High Point 18.8 +1.03 15 29
308 Miami (OH) 18.9 +1.06 15 29
309 UC Riverside 18.9 +1.06 15 33
310 Fairleigh Dickinson 18.9 +1.07 15 35
311 UT Martin 18.9 +1.10 14 29
312 Alcorn State 19.0 +1.12 14 32
313 Southern Utah 19.0 +1.12 14 33
314 Eastern Michigan 19.0 +1.14 14 30
315 Pacific 19.0 +1.16 13 31
316 Chicago State 19.1 +1.18 13 27
317 Cal State Bakersfield 19.1 +1.19 13 31
318 Alabama A&M 19.1 +1.20 12 30
319 Florida A&M 19.1 +1.22 12 27
320 Texas Southern 19.2 +1.23 12 33
321 Iowa State 19.2 +1.24 12 33
322 Cal State Northridge 19.2 +1.25 11 30
323 Prairie View A&M 19.2 +1.25 11 30
324 Grambling 19.2 +1.27 11 31
325 Auburn 19.3 +1.29 10 34
326 Presbyterian 19.3 +1.29 10 30
327 Kent State 19.3 +1.30 10 33
328 Gardner-Webb 19.3 +1.30 10 29
329 New Mexico State 19.3 +1.31 9 21
330 UC Irvine 19.3 +1.32 9 33
331 Arkansas 19.3 +1.32 9 36
332 Buffalo 19.3 +1.33 9 30
333 Monmouth 19.3 +1.33 8 33
334 Loyola Chicago 19.4 +1.36 8 31
335 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 19.4 +1.36 8 31
336 McNeese 19.4 +1.37 7 33
337 Northern Illinois 19.4 +1.37 7 30
338 Wagner 19.4 +1.39 7 26
339 BYU 19.5 +1.41 7 32
340 Loyola Marymount 19.5 +1.43 6 30
341 North Carolina Central 19.5 +1.45 6 26
342 Fordham 19.6 +1.49 6 33
343 Coppin State 19.7 +1.54 6 32
344 UT Arlington 19.7 +1.56 5 29
345 New Orleans 19.7 +1.57 5 30
346 Cal Poly 19.8 +1.61 5 31
347 Utah Tech 19.8 +1.63 4 30
348 Little Rock 19.9 +1.67 4 29
349 South Carolina Upstate 20.2 +1.82 4 30
350 Southern 20.2 +1.82 4 30
351 Central Michigan 20.3 +1.89 3 29
352 South Carolina State 20.6 +2.08 3 30
353 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 20.6 +2.10 3 27
354 Abilene Christian 20.9 +2.27 2 26
355 Tennessee State 21.0 +2.34 2 28
356 Nicholls 21.0 +2.34 2 27
357 UT Rio Grande Valley 21.1 +2.38 2 28
358 Tarleton State 21.3 +2.51 1 30
359 Saint Peter's 21.4 +2.55 1 31
360 Morgan State 21.6 +2.64 1 27
361 Stephen F. Austin 21.8 +2.80 1 29
362 Southeast Missouri State 22.0 +2.89 0 33
363 Portland State 23.0 +3.48 0 29