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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
1–1 on winners
spread MAE 4.2
2 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Illinois State
@
Incarnate Word
|
-4.5 | 141.7 | 30% | 78–73 | ✓ |
Chattanooga
@
Bradley
|
+5.8 | 147.2 | 69% | 67–65 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.