Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -200 UTC +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +2 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -6.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -6.5 (-8.5) | 149.1 (-17.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -6.5 (-8.5) | 149.1 (-17.1) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -6.8 (-8.8) | 146.5 (-14.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -5.8 (-7.8) | 147.2 (-15.2) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 29-9 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 9-3 | 12-5 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#89) | 3.3 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#55) | 1.09 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#70) | 1.27 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#50) | 0.565 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.8% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.