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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–1 on winners
spread MAE 7.6
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-4.8 | 163.3 | 33% | 90–86 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.8 | 146.7 | 37% | 67–48 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.9 | 162.9 | 57% | 74–69 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.