Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | BAY -360 COLO +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +19 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -6.7 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.6 (-14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -6.4 (+12.6) | 153.9 (-0.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -5.5 (+13.5) | 157.0 (-4.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -5.5 (+13.5) | 155.8 (-2.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -4.8 (+14.2) | 158.0 (-5.0) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | COLO 76 – 74 BAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 80.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#47) | 8.3 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#65) | 1.39 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#58) | 2.03 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#86) | 0.540 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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