Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | COLO +225 BAY -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +2 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -7.8 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -6.4 (+8.4) | 141.6 (+8.4) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -6.2 (+8.2) | 141.5 (+8.5) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -6.2 (+8.2) | 141.0 (+9.0) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -5.7 (+7.7) | 140.2 (+9.8) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | BAY 86 – 67 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-21 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 0-10 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#92) | 16.7 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#124) | 2.23 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#112) | 2.82 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#210) | 0.591 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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