Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA -175 IU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +1 | 195 | Lost |
| Massey | IU -0.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+49.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -2.9 (-3.9) | 141.0 (+54.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -2.5 (-3.5) | 138.9 (+56.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -2.4 (-3.4) | 139.2 (+55.8) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -2.3 (-3.3) | 138.7 (+56.3) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2025 | UCLA 72 – 68 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 17-1 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#42) | 16.0 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#37) | 2.01 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#46) | 2.60 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#55) | 0.576 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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