Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | IU +115 UCLA -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +4 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -2.9 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -1.7 (-2.3) | 138.7 (+1.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -1.6 (-2.4) | 139.5 (+0.5) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -1.6 (-2.4) | 139.8 (+0.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -1.4 (-2.6) | 140.2 (-0.2) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | IU 98 – 97 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#55) | 16.8 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#52) | 2.65 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#51) | 3.30 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#43) | 0.597 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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