Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU -192 PEPP +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +3 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -4.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -2.9 (+0.1) | 135.6 (+23.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -2.3 (+0.7) | 137.4 (+21.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -3.2 (-0.2) | 136.8 (+22.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -3.7 (-0.7) | 138.5 (+20.5) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2024 | LBSU 79 – 76 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-9 | 7-10 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#269) | -6.8 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#325) | -1.36 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#305) | -1.56 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#324) | 0.418 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.2% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.8% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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