Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | CCSU -250 FAIR +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +14 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -9.1 (-23.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -8.2 (-22.2) | 144.1 (+9.9) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -7.5 (-21.5) | 142.7 (+11.3) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -8.0 (-22.0) | 143.5 (+10.5) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -7.4 (-21.4) | 145.2 (+8.8) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2024 | CCSU 64 – 63 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#197) | -6.9 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#140) | -0.53 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#171) | -1.08 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#106) | 0.472 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.