All your compliments and your cutting remarks are captured here in my quotation marks. "Everyday I Write the Book" - Elvis Costello
John M. Belk Arena · December 19, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread DAV -5.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money DAV -218 / TEM +180
Model Predictions
Spread Total DAV win
Actual TEM +5 131 Lost
Massey DAV -10.0 (-15.0)
Massey Totals 155.3 (-24.3)
Bradley-Terry 94%
Weighted B-T 97%
Baseline Plus ML DAV -9.9 (-14.9) 145.6 (-14.6) 80%
Model 4 ML DAV -7.9 (-12.9) 142.2 (-11.2) 80%
Model 3 ML DAV -9.7 (-14.7) 147.1 (-16.1) 82%
Baseline ML DAV -9.4 (-14.4) 147.4 (-16.4) 80%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 19, 2024 TEM 6261 DAV

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DAV TEM
Overall 20-14 16-16
Conference 10-8 8-10
Home 11-7 10-6
Away 7-5 5-6
Neutral 2-2 1-4
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 69.9 73.0
Avg Pts Against 68.5 71.2
Massey 4.4 (#111) -1.2 (#187)
Bradley-Terry 1.28 (#86) -0.76 (#238)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.77 (#85) -0.75 (#217)
RPI 0.545 (#101) 0.457 (#254)
Shooting & Four Factors DAV TEM
FG% 49.0% 46.8%
3PT% 39.7% 38.1%
REB / G 31.8 33.1
OREB / G 8.3 9.1
AST / TO 1.24 1.49
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.5% 53.8%
TOV% 17.1% 13.3%
ORB% 27.6% 28.0%
FT Rate 27.3% 33.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.3% 53.8%
Opp TOV% 18.5% 14.7%
DRB% 69.4% 70.8%
Opp FT Rate 24.2% 20.4%

Game Analysis

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