Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | TEM -125 DAV +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +1 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -3.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (-30.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -2.9 (-1.9) | 148.7 (-25.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | TEM -1.7 (-0.7) | 146.7 (-23.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | TEM -3.0 (-2.0) | 146.9 (-23.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -3.3 (-2.3) | 148.3 (-25.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2025 | TEM 68 – 63 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#123) | 2.8 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#141) | 1.17 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#144) | 1.51 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#123) | 0.543 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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