Betting Lines
| Spread | MIA -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE +360 MIA -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +11 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | MIA -10.0 (+21.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIA -4.9 (+15.9) | 146.0 (+3.0) | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIA -2.2 (+13.2) | 138.7 (+10.3) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIA -5.6 (+16.6) | 138.2 (+10.8) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MIA -5.4 (+16.4) | 143.8 (+5.2) | 23% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 17, 2023 | MIA 63 – 56 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 3-17 |
| Home | 14-2 | 7-10 |
| Away | 9-1 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.2 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#186) | 9.6 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#140) | 1.04 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#147) | 1.66 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#259) | 0.501 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 57.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 42.7% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 2.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 66.0% |
| TOV% | 26.5% | 11.3% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 35.2% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 82.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.3% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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