Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | FDU -218 ARMY +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +8 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | FDU -7.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FDU -3.7 (-11.7) | 147.4 (+6.6) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -5.4 (-13.4) | 143.7 (+10.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -5.3 (-13.3) | 149.3 (+4.7) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -6.9 (-14.9) | 148.1 (+5.9) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2024 | ARMY 84 – 70 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-6 | 6-10 |
| Away | 3-15 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.1 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -12.9 (#343) | -14.1 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.39 (#353) | -3.49 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.31 (#355) | -5.81 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.328 (#349) | 0.343 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 25.1% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.2% | 58.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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