Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 181.5 Over |
| Money | ALA -1800 UNLV +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +39 | 191 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -12.7 (+26.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 186.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -9.6 (+29.4) | 168.4 (+22.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -9.9 (+29.1) | 168.2 (+22.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -12.6 (+26.4) | 168.9 (+22.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -10.0 (+29.0) | 172.9 (+18.1) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2020 | ALA 86 – 74 UNLV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-3 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.2 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.7 | 79.3 |
| Massey | 14.9 (#22) | 2.2 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#22) | -0.75 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.93 (#13) | -0.86 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.682 (#7) | 0.464 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 38.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 35.4% |
Game Analysis
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