Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.0 Over |
| Money | ALA -700 UNLV +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +12 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -13.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (+14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -10.3 (+1.7) | 143.5 (+16.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -10.4 (+1.6) | 146.3 (+13.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -10.5 (+1.5) | 148.3 (+11.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | ALA 115 – 76 UNLV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-7 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-1 | 8-4 |
| Away | 7-3 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#116) | -12.4 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#130) | -1.92 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#126) | -2.66 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#98) | 0.562 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.5% | 36.8% |
| 3PT% | 23.3% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.4% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.2% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 62.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 36.8% |
Game Analysis
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